Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001384 0.001434 0.001486 0.001542 0.001603 0.001667 0.001738
2025-08-03 0.001284 0.001356 0.001432 0.001518 0.001615 0.001721 0.001846
2025-08-10 0.001230 0.001317 0.001413 0.001526 0.001656 0.001804 0.001987
2025-08-17 0.001176 0.001274 0.001383 0.001515 0.001673 0.001857 0.002094
2025-08-24 0.001129 0.001234 0.001353 0.001500 0.001680 0.001896 0.002185
2025-08-31 0.001111 0.001226 0.001358 0.001525 0.001734 0.001994 0.002355
2025-09-07 0.001085 0.001206 0.001348 0.001530 0.001763 0.002061 0.002489
2025-09-14 0.001053 0.001177 0.001324 0.001516 0.001765 0.002092 0.002575
2025-09-21 0.001022 0.001148 0.001298 0.001496 0.001759 0.002110 0.002643
2025-09-28 0.000996 0.001124 0.001278 0.001484 0.001760 0.002137 0.002725
2025-10-05 0.000957 0.001082 0.001233 0.001437 0.001712 0.002090 0.002691
2025-10-12 0.000936 0.001062 0.001216 0.001425 0.001711 0.002111 0.002762
2025-10-19 0.000923 0.001052 0.001212 0.001431 0.001736 0.002173 0.002908
2025-10-26 0.000903 0.001034 0.001196 0.001421 0.001738 0.002200 0.003000
2025-11-02 0.000894 0.001028 0.001196 0.001432 0.001770 0.002275 0.003182
2025-11-09 0.000878 0.001013 0.001184 0.001424 0.001775 0.002307 0.003293
2025-11-16 0.000861 0.000996 0.001167 0.001412 0.001771 0.002325 0.003378
2025-11-23 0.000858 0.000997 0.001176 0.001434 0.001820 0.002433 0.003653
2025-11-30 0.000849 0.000990 0.001173 0.001438 0.001843 0.002497 0.003851
2025-12-07 0.000834 0.000975 0.001158 0.001426 0.001838 0.002514 0.003950
2025-12-14 0.000818 0.000958 0.001140 0.001409 0.001825 0.002516 0.004015
2025-12-21 0.000804 0.000944 0.001127 0.001398 0.001820 0.002532 0.004117
2025-12-28 0.000780 0.000916 0.001093 0.001355 0.001764 0.002452 0.003979